From the Daily Pro (Brazil) – Like any good politician, Trump will naturally try to calm the market. His extremist speech would become more moderate. Even as we near the final stretch of the race, it has toned down.
But we do have to keep an eye on these variables until November.
Sites and consultants, however, predict that there is more than a 50 percent chance of Hillary winning. And Monday’s debate did not help Trump win over any final votes.
The confirmation of a Hillary victory would rally the market in favor of risk assets, which sets the scene for more risk. There would also be an explosion for fixed income returns.
Of course we will continue to keep an eye on this. Let’s not risk in vain. We will not be betting on either “heads or tails.” But studying this probability is worth a lot of money, and being out of the loop may end up leaving one in completely outdated investments.